
谢谢邀请。首先,最低工资提高是否一定会导致就业下降?这在学术界还是一个待争论的问题。与Card和Krueger相反,
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,Revisiting the Minimum Wage-Employment Debate: Throwing Out the Baby with the Bathwater?
We revisit the minimum wage-employment debate, which is as old as the Department of Labor. In particular, we assess new studies claiming that the standard panel data approach used in much of the “new minimum wage research” is flawed because it fails to account for spatial heterogeneity. These new studies use research designs intended to control for this heterogeneity and conclude that minimum wages in the United States have not reduced employment. We explore the ability of these research designs to isolate reliable identifying information and test the untested assumptions in this new research about the construction of better control groups. Our evidence points to serious problems with these research designs. Moreover, new evidence based on methods that let the data identify the appropriate control groups leads to stronger evidence of disemployment effects, with teen employment elasticities near −0.3. We conclude that the evidence still shows that minimum wages pose a tradeoff of higher wages for some against job losses for others, and that policymakers need to bear this tradeoff in mind when making decisions about increasing the minimum wage.
认为最低工资提高对年轻人就业还是有不小的影响的。有关最低工资的实证研究还会争论下去。至于为什么会提高,还是要结合政治考量。
